New paper – Interest aggregators, not office chasers: evidence for party convergence and divergence in Australia

Some of the work from my thesis (plus a little additional research) will be appearing in the next issue of the Australian Journal of Political Science. This paper examines whether Australia’s major political parties continue to fulfil a representational role. This was often the traditional view of the parties, but has been much criticised in recent …

The geography of public opinion in Australia

The maps below are preliminary results based on work done with Simon Jackman and Luke Mansillo on ways to obtain estimates of public opinion in smaller geographic areas using unconventional data. We use data collected over the 56 days of the 2016 Australian federal election. Each of the maps below shows the probability that voters in each electoral …